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Archive for May, 2010

Forecast for the Canadian Oil Sands: America’s Top Source of Imported Oil

Friday, May 21st, 2010

This week, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA) released a report highlighting the what-should-be-welcome reality that Canadian oil sands are expected to become America’s top source of imported oil this year, surpassing conventional Canadian oil imports and almost equaling the volume of crude received each day from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait combined.

The United States currently produces about five million barrels of oil a day and imports 10 million more—Canada accounts for about 1.9 million barrels of the daily imports and about half of it is from the oil sands. However, IHS CERA projects oil sands production growing from 1.34 million barrels a day to between 3.1 million and 5.7 million barrels a day by 2030 – which could make up as much as 36 percent of United States oil imports by 2030.

 The New York Times highlights this remarkable report in a story entitled “Reliance on Oil Sands Grows Despite Environmental Risks:”

In a new report, it projects that “The uncertainty and the slowdown in drilling permits in the gulf really underscores the growing importance of Canadian oil sands, which over the last decade have gone from being a fringe energy source to being one of strategic importance,” said Daniel Yergin, an oil historian and chairman of IHS CERA. “Looking ahead, its importance is only going to get bigger.”

 In a world in which so many oil-producing nations are far away, unstable or hostile to the United States, Canadian oil sands hold great political appeal.

 

Echoing The New York Times, Consumer Energy Alliance’s (CEA) Michael Whatley recently characterized the situation this way at the North American Energy Security Summit hosted at the Canadian Embassy in Washington, D.C.:

“Canada is our closest trading partner in the world and our most important strategic ally in the hemisphere. Energy isn’t merely incidental to that relationship; it’s fundamental to it. No nation in the world sends more energy to the United States each day than Canada. And if we expect to have even a fighting chance at reducing our nation’s dangerous dependence on far-away, unstable energy in the future, Canadian energy will have to play an even more active role in helping us get there.”

 

Interestingly, The New York Times reported on this same event, stating “a phalanx of Canadian diplomats took advantage of a previously planned trip to Washington to promote oil sands” and an opportunity for Alberta’s premier, Ed Stelmach to highlight “what we have to offer, which is security of supply” and “a safe stable government.”

Reporting on the CERA predictions under the headline “Tar sands will become top source of U.S. imported oil this year,” Nathanial Gronewold with E&E News adds:  

While future output will depend on the investment climate and government policies, but analysts see the tar sands’ development continuing to grow as the region becomes the United States’ most important foreign source. In their high-growth scenario, researchers say oil sands could constitute 47 percent of total U.S. crude imports and become the source of fully 26 percent of all crude oil and refined products.

Gronewold continues with an overview of how innovation is improving the environmental footprint of the oil sands:   

“Innovation in oil sands has been a constant theme,” the report says. “Since its inception, the industry has made and continues to make major technological strides in optimizing resources, innovating new processes, reducing costs, increasing efficiency, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and reducing its environmental impact.” Technological progress should further lighten the burden of water pollution and other environmental concerns, the report adds.

 

 However, despite the fact that newer and more efficient technologies have been deployed to develop the oil sands in an environmentally sensitive way, it seems that environmental groups bent on the sands’ destruction have agreed upon a strategy of releasing report after report filled with the same old tired criticisms of the oil sands. Fortunately, this broken record won’t change the truth – namely, that innovations in technology have helped reduce the sands’ carbon emissions per barrel by more than 30 percent since 1990.

Irrespective of this progress, these same groups would like to see a dangerous Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) scheme passed in the United States – a policy that would severely restrict American access to secure and affordable sources of energy, and through that, result in higher prices at the pump for U.S. consumers, and a deeper, more dangerous dependence on some of the most unstable and unfriendly regions of the world to keep our economy running.

Given that more than 20 states across the country are currently considering LCFS policies, the Canadians don’t appear all that interested in waiting around to see what happens next. In fact, plans are already under way for pipelines to be built from Alberta to Canada’s west coast for shipments to Asia and Ed Stelmach, Alberta’s premier, recently flew to China with a trade mission to Shanghai, Beijing and Harbin.

According to the Montreal Gazette’s recent story on Stelmach’s visit, titled “Alberta welcomes more Chinese investment in oilsands”:

When Premier Ed Stelmach said in Shanghai this week, “our doors are open,” it was a clear invitation for more Chinese investment in Alberta’s oilsands. In an interview Tuesday, the premier said that the world financial crisis means Alberta oil companies are looking for new investors and China is clearly on their radar.

Like many American consumers, CEA is concerned that China’s and India’s insatiable appetite for stable energy resources to continue to aggressively grow their economies, coupled with the consideration of job-killing LCFS proposals in the U.S., could send a troubling message to our strongest and most important trading partner to the north.

So as China continues to secure steady streams of affordable energy, like those produced from Canada’s sands, state and federal policymakers should reject dangerous LCFS schemes and remember America’s top source of imported oil this year and the unique role that Canada plays both as America’s largest fuel supplier and its closest friend.

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As California Goes, So Goes the Rest of the Country (for Worse)

Wednesday, May 19th, 2010

Following the recent introduction of climate legislation in the U.S. Senate that did not contain provisions to enact a Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS), former U.S. Rep. and President of the Center for North American Energy Security (CNAES), Thomas Corcoran, penned a column in The Daily Caller  titled, “Low-carbon fuel standards may be closer than you think” about the numerous state efforts that are under way to pass harmful LCFS policies across the U.S. Here are key excerpts:

While they may not know it yet, the decision to leave the LCFS on the cutting room floor is a rare spot of good news for a broke and broken American public. After all, ever since the governor of California signed an executive order in 2007 setting his state down the LCFS path, those of us who have seen this movie before began to brace for the inevitable national standard from Washington—part of the less-than-implicit pact we have with the world’s eighth largest economy to bail it out anytime it bites off a mandate too big for it to chew.

But given a second glance at the legislative movement taking place throughout the country, perhaps we’ve been duped. True, it’s unlikely that an LCFS will be resurrected as part of the Kerry-Lieberman bill. But that doesn’t mean it’s prepared to stay in the grave forever. Right now, in more than 20 states across the country, efforts are under way to copy the California model and paste it into statute—with or without the consent of the legislature. And while you may think you’d be safe if you happen to live in one of the remaining 30 states, it’s time to think again.

Corcoran continues with a summary of current state LCFS efforts:

The rest of the West Coast has caught on as well. In Washington, final recommendations on the provisions of the state’s LCFS are due to the Department of Ecology by November. And in Oregon, proposed changes to House Bill 2186, which would enact an LCFS there, are due by year’s end. So if all goes as planned, the entire western coast could be under an LCFS regime before the ball drops on 2011.

One state, however, has recently bucked the trend. In reviewing the Clean Energy Jobs Act brought before the state legislature, Wisconsin lawmakers moved to drop the LCFS provisions originally included in the bill, citing concerns over costs, particularly to the manufacturing sector that is essential to the state’s economic livelihood.

In the case of an LCFS, which effectively bans stable and reliable forms of North American energy,  American consumers can only hope that these states don’t continue to take their cues from the Golden State. In fact, before moving any further in their LCFS process, states may want to pay attention to a recent article from Environment and Energy News, titled “Calif. will suffer if it acts alone on GHGs — state auditor.”

In this article, E&E Reporter, Colin Sullivan, reports that California’s legislative auditor recently found in an analysis that “if California proceeds on greenhouse gas curbs without regional involvement, the state’s economy is likely to suffer short-term harm as electricity prices rise and business flees to neighboring states.”

Sullivan also reports:

“These adverse effects will occur in large part through economic leakage, as certain economic activity locates or relocates outside of California where regulatory-related costs are lower,” analyst Mac Taylor wrote in a letter to a California lawmaker dated May 13.

 The nonpartisan legislative auditor specifically examined the effects of A.B. 32 if the Western Climate Initiative, or WCI, fails to coalesce when California launches its cap-and-trade program in 2012. WCI had been on track to move forward with California but lately has suffered defections. Recent reports indicate only New Mexico and a few Canadian provinces will be prepared to implement the law’s far-reaching emissions cuts.

Nonetheless, Taylor in his letter to Logue said the climate law would cause the price of goods and services to rise; lower business profits; and reduce production, income and jobs. Taylor said A.B. 32 would likely create green jobs but not enough to offset the economic losses.

 

After seeing the potential economic harm that California may suffer through if they continue on their path implementing A.B. 32 and the law’s LCFS provisions, states would clearly be wiser to say no to the prescription laid out by an LCFS—higher fuel costs and increased imports from unstable regions of the world.

States should instead follow the lead of the Badger State by rejecting harmful LCFS schemes due to concerns about the extreme economic hardship that such policies could bring upon its citizens. With the economy still rebounding and national unemployment stuck around almost 10%, now may not be the best time for states to follow California’s lead off of an economic cliff.

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Message From the Husky State: Low-Carbon Fuel Standard Will Hurt Washingtonians

Monday, May 17th, 2010

The topic of a Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) is heading up across Washington state. At the beginning of April, Consumer Energy Alliance (CEA) president David Holt sent a letter to the state’s governor, Christine Gregoire, urging her to fully consider the harmful effects that an LCFS could have on the state. And on the heels of CEA’s call for commonsense energy policies, a major organization from the Husky state recently emerged to voice its opposition to the implementation of a California-style LCFS which would effectively ban stable forms of Canadian energy from reaching Washington consumers.

Lea N. Wilson – executive director of the Washington Oil Marketers Association – recently penned a Bellingham Herald column entitled “Low-carbon fuel standard would hurt Washingtonians.” Here are key excerpts:

 

There’s a lot more than weather and wine that makes Washington different from California. But judging by Gov. Chris Gregoire’s recent legislative intentions, Washington may start to look a lot more like our coastal neighbor – and not to our benefit.

In short, an LCFS will only make the fuels in our tank harder to find and more expensive to purchase. And supporters of the initiative admit that if successful, an LCFS will make traditional energy sources so expensive that we Washingtonians will learn to favor those alternative sources that have yet to reach maturation and availability. Does your car run on hydropower? Mine doesn’t, and probably won’t for a long time.

 

Wilson continues:

 

And this will only hurt what has become a healthy and burgeoning trade relationship between Washington and our border neighbors to the north. Canada imports almost $6.6 billion worth of goods from Washington, including refined oil products. But with the burden of increased transportation costs lingering under LCFS provisions, we stand to lose much of that revenue.

Certainly our governor must know that Washington derives its energy from different places than California does – and further, that an LCFS scheme conjured up by consultants in Sacramento might not achieve its desired effect here in the Evergreen State. Unfortunately, it doesn’t appear as if that knowledge is making a shred of difference.

Gov. Gregoire’s administration is charging toward its July deadline, when it is set to fully assess what an LCFS would bring to Washington. But what we outlined here leaves little to assess: an LCFS will increase the cost of fuel during an economically challenging time, and make us ever more energy dependent.


Wilson is correct in voicing concerns about Governor Gregoire’s fast approaching July deadline and the fact that Washington’s fuel supply would be threatened under an LCFS policy. While Washington’s economy, and its consumers and small businesses, does rely on oil from Saudi Arabia, Angola and Argentina, more than 25 percent of its crude comes from Canada. Therefore, over a quarter of the state’s secure, affordable oil supply would be threatened under an LCFS.

Additionally, about 10 percent of the state’s gasoline – refined in Montana, but derived from Canada’s oil sands – could be prevented from crossing its eastern border. The consequences are far greater and more profound for the state’s workforce. Discrimination called for under an LCFS against Canada’s energy could also impact many jobs in the state, since refiners in Washington directly employed more than 2,000 workers in 2007 (latest numbers), and indirectly supported another 20,000 – paying out more than $400 million in wages.

Regrettably, Washington isn’t the only state in the nation that is currently considering adopting a California-style LCFS – which would effectively ban stable and reliable forms of North American energy from reaching U.S. consumers. The American people oppose higher fuel costs and increased imports from unstable regions of the world. Unfortunately, the real-life outcome of an LCFS will lead to higher prices at the pump and a deeper and more dangerous dependence on unstable regions of the world to ensure that our economy continues to move and grow.

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CEA at North American Energy Security Summit: Energy Not “Incidental” to U.S.-Canadian Partnership, But “Fundamental”

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010

Last week Consumer Energy Alliance (CEA) vice president Michael Whatley joined the U.S. State Department, Alberta’s premier, and top U.S. and Canadian energy experts for a North American Energy Security Summit hosted at the Canadian Embassy in Washington, DC.

Alberta premier Ed Stelmach reinforced the fact that Canada stands ready, willing and eager to build upon the unique and valuable relationship that exists with the United States to leverage energy resources into jobs, security and opportunity on both sides of the border. And following his remarks, David Goldwyn – a senior State Dept. advisor – weighed in regarding America’s historic partnership with Canada on issues related to energy security, affordability, and reliability, describing this strong and strategic relationship as a “model” for others to follow.

ClimateWire highlights Mr. Goldwyn’s remarks in story entitled “With offshore oil spilling, Alberta pushes its inland”:

 “Having technically recoverable petroleum reserves that are on our border, and they’re delivered by pipelines that are controlled by a stable democracy and an ally and a friend in an open and transparent regulatory regime enhances … global energy security today and into the future,” David Goldwyn, who oversees international energy issues at the U.S. State Department, told an audience at the Canadian Embassy yesterday.

Following remarks from Stelmach and Goldwyn, CEA’s Michael Whatley added this about the importance of North American energy security:

Canada is our closest trading partner in the world and our most important strategic ally in the hemisphere. Energy isn’t merely incidental to that relationship; it’s fundamental to it. No nation in the world sends more energy to the United States each day than Canada. And if we expect to have even a fighting chance at reducing our nation’s dangerous dependence on far-away, unstable energy in the future, Canadian energy will have to play an even more active role in helping us get there.

Nick Snow of the Oil & Gas Journal reports this under the headline “Forum showcases benefits of Alberta oil sands development”:

The US Environmental Protection Agency’s effort to limit GHG emissions under the Clean Air Act poses the biggest threat, added Michael Whatley, vice-president of the Consumer Energy Alliance. “Demand has rebounded since the economy hit bottom in 2008 and 2009. China and India are trying to get more supplies than ever out of world markets,” Whatley observed. North America has sufficient energy supplies to meet growing demand, but US policies restricting access and mandating low-carbon fuels restrict their development, he said. “Let’s be clear: Demand is going to increase,” Whatley said. “Taking North American energy resources off the table will affect consumer prices and hurt the economy.”

Hosted by the Center for North American Energy Security (CNAES), the day’s event drew broad participation, including a number of U.S. and Canadian energy, economic and environmental experts. The discussion and debate throughout the day ranged from the capacity and permitting of local pipelines, to federal procurement rules for accessing oil sands-derived energy, all the way through to the political debate surrounding Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) proposals, a policy that would severely restrict American access to secure and affordable sources of energy from Canada.  

Canwest News Service’s Sheldon Alberts captured the possible threat of an LCFS in an article under the headline “Gulf spill makes oilsands more appealing”:

Still, oil sands supporters remain suspicious of the Obama administration and fear it will seek a low carbon fuel standard (LCFS) targeted at carbon-intensive energy sources like the oil sands. Michael Whatley, vice-president of … Consumer Energy Alliance, said it was ‘no coincidence’ that an early version of U.S. climate change legislation from the House of Representatives included plans for a low carbon fuel standard. Whatley said there’s also concern the Obama administration could target the oilsands through the Environmental Protection Agency … ‘The LCFS is a high priority for this administration,’ Whatley said at the Canadian Embassy. ‘They can move down that road. We are very concerned that they will.’

And under the headline “After spill, Stelmach touts oil,” the Globe and Mail reports this:

Mr. Stelmach said he’s only trying to ensure the oil sands gets fair treatment in the face of a wave of federal and state efforts that threaten to penalize Alberta’s heavy crude and other high-carbon fuels. Pending regulations from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency – which is poised to cap greenhouse gases since Congress won’t – threaten to cut off the sale of oil sands crude from Alberta to refineries south of the border. And dozens of states are moving ahead with regulations that would penalize carbon-intensive fuels and spur use of greener alternatives. Major U.S. energy consumers, meanwhile, worry that a low-carbon fuel standard may be inevitable in the United States. “We’re very concerned,” said Michael Whatley, vice-president of the Consumer Energy Alliance, a broad coalition of major U.S. energy consumers. 

Given the recent announcement that climate change legislation may be introduced very soon in the U.S. Senate, CEA will continue to remind policymakers about the dangerous consequences of imposing an LCFS in the U.S., as well as the importance of our closest trading partner and the barrels of secure and reliable fuel Canada sends the United States each day.

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CEA: Energy Not Merely “Incidental” to U.S. Relationship with Canada, But “Fundamental”

Friday, May 7th, 2010

CEA joins State Department, Premier of Alberta, Top U.S. and Canadian Energy Experts for North American Energy Security Summit at Canadian Embassy


WASHINGTON – America’s historic and ongoing partnership with Canada on issues related to energy security, affordability, and reliability is a “model” for other nations to follow, a senior advisor from the U.S. State Department said today at the Canadian Embassy – and according to Alberta premier Ed Stelmach, Canada stands ready, willing and eager to build upon that existing relationship and leverage those resources into jobs, security and opportunity on both sides of the border.

 

“Canada is our closest trading partner in the world, and our most important strategic ally in the hemisphere,” said Michael Whatley, vice president of Consumer Energy Alliance and a panelist at today’s summit. “Energy isn’t merely incidental to that relationship; it’s fundamental to it. No nation in the world sends more energy to the United States each day than Canada. And if we expect to have even a fighting chance at reducing our nation’s dangerous dependence on far-away, unstable energy in the future, Canadian energy will have to play an even more active role in helping us get there.”

 

This morning’s summit, hosted by the Center for North American Energy Security (CNAES) and held at the Canadian Embassy in Washington, D.C., drew the participation of a number of U.S. and Canadian experts on energy, the economy and the environment – addressing issues ranging from the capacity and permitting of local pipelines, to federal procurement rules for accessing oil sands-derived energy, all the way through to the political debate surrounding the Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS), a policy that would severely restrict American access to secure and affordable sources of energy from Canada.  

 

Addressing the summit earlier today, both Stelmach and senior U.S. State Department official David Goldwyn agreed that the energy resources made available to U.S. consumers today by way of the oil sands have strengthened our nations’ existing strategic partnership and contributed to robust economic development both in Canada and here in the United States. Stelmach additionally provided summit-goers with an update on the latest technological advances being deployed to develop the oil sands in an environmentally sensitive way, technology that has helped producers reduce the sands’ carbon emissions by nearly 40 percent over the past two decades.

 

Added Tom Corcoran, executive director of CNAES and a former member of Congress from Illinois: “As the energy and climate change debate continues to take shape in the U.S., policymakers should remember the 2.5 million barrels of petroleum Canada sends the United States each and every day — and the unique role that Canada plays both as America’s largest fuel supplier and its closest friend.”

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CEA Continues Fight Against Job-Killing LCFS, as China’s Appetite for Canadian Energy Resources Grows

Monday, May 3rd, 2010

Last week, the Globe and Mail reported that Enbridge plans to file next month for a permit from the National Energy Board (NEB) to build an oil pipeline to the West Coast. According Enbridge chief executive Pat Daniel, the NEB process is expected to take about two years and Alberta bitumen could begin flowing to Pacific Rim markets by 2015. Mr. Daniel also said refiners in Asia have expressed interest in receiving these Canadian secure energy resources.

You’d be hard-press to find a U.S. policymaker that would disagree with the fact that we need to lessen our dependence on fuel from the Middle East. Here at Consumer Energy Alliance (CEA), we agree believe that we need to use every bit of energy we have more wisely, and at the same time, responsibly increase access to our most stable and affordable forms of energy.

Some elected leaders, however, are mistakenly advocating policies that would force the U.S. to accepting stable, North American fuels from Canada and Mexico – which help more well over 20 percent of our daily demands.

Haven’t heard of this well-intended (perhaps) yet terribly misguided proposal? It’s called a Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS). Unfortunately, proponents of LCFS policies aren’t telling the American public that this dangerous scheme – which targets fuel sources that are more energy-intensive to producer, transport, refine and deliver to market – will result in higher prices at the pump for U.S. consumers, and a deeper, more dangerous dependence on some of the most unstable and unfriendly regions of the world to keep our economy fueled.

California was the first state to mandate an LCFS. Other states are also trying to enact similar polices. And in Congress, proposals that would place a one-size-fits-all LCFS across the entire nation are also being considered. As we mentioned earlier, other nations – many of whom the U.S. competes with directly – recognize these LCFS efforts as a major and strategic window of economic opportunity to secure Canadian energy resources that would have been otherwise directed to American consumers.

In fact, the Financial Post recently reported this under the headline “China’s clout draws oil sands IPO:”


Sunshine Oilsands Ltd., which snapped up more than a million acres of oil-sands leases between May 2007 and October 2008, is ready to launch a steam-assisted gravity-drainage pilot project. The Calgary company is looking to raise hundreds of millions of dollars on Hong Kong’s stock exchange, a first for a Canadian energy company that highlights just how anxious Asian investors are to grab a slice of the oil sands.

 China has already shown fierce interest in Canada’s energy. Sinopec Corp., an oil company controlled by the Chinese government, struck a deal April 12 to buy a 9.03% stake in Syncrude Canada Ltd. for $4.56-billion. The deal is subject to regulatory approval, and could prove a test of Canada’s will to cede a significant amount of oil production to China. Sinopec also controls 50% of the Northern Lights oil sands project, with its partner Total SA, the France energy giant, owning the rest.

 Last year, PetroChina International Investment Co., another state-controlled outfit, bought a 60% stake in two of Athabasca Oil Sands Corp.’s projects for $1.9-billion. A third government company, CNOOC Ltd., owns 16% of MEG Energy Ltd., a private oil sands player. Meanwhile, also last year state-owned Korea National Oil Co. purchased all of Harvest Energy Trust in a deal worth $4.1-billion.

 Like many American consumers, CEA is concerned that China’s insatiable appetite for stable energy resources to continue to aggressively grow its economy, coupled with the consideration of job-killing LCFS proposals in the U.S., could send a troubling message to our strongest and most important trading partner to the north.

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