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CEA joins Environment Minister of Alberta, Consumer Groups and Policy Experts for Boston Forum on LCFS

Wednesday, July 7th, 2010

Last week the environment minister from the Canadian province of Alberta participated in a regional energy conference in Boston hosted by Consumer Energy Alliance, that examined the potentially adverse consequences of imposing a Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) on the Northeast, an initiative supported by 11 Northeast and mid-Atlantic governors, and being pushed by the Boston-based group known as the Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management (NESCAUM).

If implemented in the region, an LCFS could prevent secure and affordable Canadian energy from reaching consumers in the Northeast, making refined products like home heating fuel hard to find – forcing New England states to increase imports from foreign, far-away suppliers to make up the difference. Massachusetts alone imports more than 2.8 million barrels of petroleum products from Canada a month – supplies that would be put in danger under an LCFS.

During the forum, Michael Whatley, CEA’s vice president and the emcee of the forum, explained what an LCFS is and the state of this policy in the Northeast and stated this about an LCFS to the participants:

“During this time of unprecedented economic uncertainty, instituting a region-wide policy designed to drive up gas and diesel prices and make essential energy commodities such as home heating oil a whole lot more scarce doesn’t make a whole lot of sense. Maybe the more unfortunate reality of the LCFS, though, is that it won’t do a thing to reduce global concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. But that’s the LCFS: All pain, no gain.”

Following these comments, Rob Renner, the environment minister of Canada provided participants with an overview of the latest technological advances being deployed to develop Alberta’s oil sands in an environmentally sensitive way. Renner also discussed why an LCFS will not reduce carbon emissions and highlighted that CO2 emissions from the production of oil sands has come down by an average of 39 percent per barrel since 1990. 

Reporting on this event under the headline, “U.S. emissions laws could backfire, Alberta minister warns,” Archie McLean in the Vancouver Sun reports:

New low-carbon fuel standards proposed in the Northeastern U.S. could actually slow the greening of the oilsands, Alberta Environment Minister Rob Renner warned Monday. “We need to make sure that whatever we do doesn’t have the unintended consequence (of discouraging further investment) into technology that will reduce greenhouse gas emissions,” Renner said from Boston, where he was attending an energy forum.

A number of eastern and Midwestern states are weighing similar laws, which would force refiners to cut back on the amount of oilsands fuel or buy offsets or credits. They recently signed a memorandum of understanding urging the U.S. government to impose national standards but warning they could go ahead on their own if those don’t materialize.

According to a recent article in Diesel Fuel News by Jack Peckham on the LCFS forum, titled “Truckers Fear Huge Diesel Price Hike from Low-carbon Fuel Standard”:

Massachusetts Motor Transport Association Executive Director Anne Lynch last week told a Consumer Energy Alliance (CEA) panel discussion in Boston about a proposed U.S. Northeast regional low-carbon fuel standard (LCFS) that such rules potentially could cause a 90% cost increase for diesel fuel.  Any regionally-based LCFS mandate would put local truckers at a disadvantage to fleets operating in border areas outside the LCFS mandate, she added. What’s more, “there’s no [commercially competitive] powertrain that could handle these kinds of changes” contemplated by the proposed LCFS scheme, she said.

Peckham continues with an overview of how a broader LCFS could force a conversion of the U.S.light-duty vehicle fleet to electric power:

The problem is that relatively quick, massive conversion to electric power or high-level ethanol blends would require U.S. vehicle fleet turnover rates that far exceed historic turnover rates, expert panelists said. If the vehicle turnover rate (or ultra-low-carbon biofuels volume expansion) is “too slow” to meet LCFS “carbon reduction” deadlines, then forced, artificial restrictions on gasoline or diesel sales could result, causing huge fuel price increases, panelists warned.

CEA’s Michael Whatley said that a proposed Northeast region LCFS, patterned after the existing California LCFS, seems designed to favor electric vehicles, compressed natural gas (CNG) and certain types of supposedly low-carbon ethanol. However, much of today’s U.S. corn-based ethanol is produced at coal-fired, relatively high-carbon production facilities, according to California Air Resources Board calculations.

Following the myriad of concerns highlighted by the LCFS forum panelists, Northeasterners can only hope that the 11 governors from Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States currently considering an LCFS don’t follow the Golden State’s model. After seeing the potential economic harm that California may suffer through if they continue on their path implementing A.B. 32 and the law’s LCFS provisions, states would clearly be wiser to say no to the prescription laid out by an LCFS—higher fuel costs and increased imports from unstable regions of the world.

Left-Leaning Think Tank, Labor Union Throw Flag on Job-Killing LCFS Scheme

Tuesday, January 12th, 2010

Today, the Vancouver Sun’s Barbara Yaffe reports that a liberal Washington, D.C. think-tank recently released a report “urging the Obama government to think twice before introducing environmental measures that would disadvantage Alberta’s oil sands.” The Council on Hemispheric Affairs, or COHA, warns that “Washington may find that if it pushes too hard or too fast with carbon-cutting legislation targeting the oil sands, its friendly neighbor might finally grow tired of being taken for granted when it comes to oil.”

The report, enitled “The U.S. Targets Canada’s Oil Sands: Washington Should Tread Lightly with its Environmental Legislation, so that Carbon Cuts will not Come at the Expense of Canada’s Energy Sovereignty or U.S. Energy Security,” finds that:

Canada can and likely will push back, especially since China is more than happy to step in and purchase oil … if the U.S. chooses not to. That prospect is taking on enhanced credibility as planning proceeds for the Northern Gateway pipeline project to carry oil sands petroleum to Kitimat in northern B.C. for potential shipment to Asia.

In addition to COHA’s concerns about China moving forward to aggressively acquire affordable and secure Canadian energy reserves if the U.S. decides to turn its back on its closest and most strategic trading partner, the think-tank highlights concerns with a Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS):

If enacted, a national LCFS would disproportionately target Canada’s oil sands sector. While at first glance it may seem like a good idea to enact legislation incentivizing the consumption of low life-cycle carbon fuels, these policies carry with them negative consequences for U.S. energy security.

Under a national LCFS program, all vehicles would be required to fill-up with a blended fuel. As the production of bio-fuel in the U.S. is not currently enough to satisfy a one-to-one ratio blend with gas coming from the oil sands, in the short-term the blend will likely favor conventionally extracted oil, at Canada’s expense. Due to Canada having less conventional oil reserves than oil sands reserves, a shift in U.S. demand toward conventional oil would redirect trade away from Canada. If the U.S. comes to depend less on Canada’s oil sands, it will surely come to depend more on conventional oil reserves from less dependable countries overseas.

As COHA highlights in their report, eleven Northeastern states recently signed agreements to implement a regional LCFS to ban Canadian energy from reaching consumers in their states. A host of other states are also considering similar job-killing LCFS policies. However, some states are realizing the consequences – both from an energy supply and economic competitiveness standpoint – associated with an LCFS. In fact, today’s New Haven Register reports on Consumer Energy Alliance’s (CEA) campaign against an LCFS. In the article “Low-carbon initiative could pose problems for state”, Angela Carter writes:

Michael Whatley, vice president of the nonprofit Consumer Energy Alliance, said Monday that the transportation sector does not yet have the infrastructure that would be needed if a low-carbon fuel standard is adopted.

“Connecticut doesn’t have any refining factories,” which would make bringing alternative fuel into the state costly, he said, adding that there are not enough alternative vehicles available, or newly designed pumps or electric charging stations in the market. “Every gas pump in the Northeast would have to be replaced.” Whatley said the alliance is concerned that petroleum supplies from the Canadian oil sands, southern U.S. and Mexico would be “off the table.”

And in Wisconsin, where LCFS legislation was recently introduced, labor unions are speaking out about how this proposal that will increase prices at the pump for struggling consumers and deepen America’s dependence on unstable regions of the world to keep our economy moving. Terry McGowan, of the International Union of Operating Engineers Local 139, writes this in a Sheboygan Press op-ed entitled “Oil Sands: Jobs, energy security at stake”:

Despite our national and energy security considerations, the future of Canadian Oil Sands production for the United States is not assured. Certain groups promote low-carbon fuel standard legislation by arguing that American refineries should not process crude oil with a higher carbon footprint than that of petroleum derived from places like the Middle East. While Oil Sands’ carbon footprint is slightly higher than crude from places like Saudi Arabia, it is comparable to oil found in Venezuela, Mexico and California.

The International Union of Operating Engineers Local 139 believes that, because the oil and natural gas industry is vital to American energy security and job supply, we should encourage Canadian Oil Sands production as part of a sound energy strategy.

As states in the Northeast and Midwest toil with enacting far-reaching LCFS schemes akin to California’s, groups like COHA and labor unions are speaking out about the harmful effects that an LCFS will impose throughout the U.S. In order to stop LCFS policies, it is critical that concerned consumers continue to send Congress the message that an LCFS will kill American jobs, increase greenhouse gas emissions, deepen our dependence on unstable regions of the world and drive prices at the pump even higher.

Wicked Cold: Draft MOU Asks Northeast Guvs to Endorse Future of Higher Gas, Heating Oil Prices

Monday, December 28th, 2009

Consumer Energy Alliance sends letter to 11 Northeast governors asking officials to look before they leap on regional LCFS

WASHINGTON – The imposition of a California-style Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) on 11 Northeast and mid-Atlantic states would dramatically restrict consumers’ access to local and affordable supplies of motor and home heating fuel – all without doing a thing to limit global greenhouse gas emissions. That’s the message conveyed this week by Consumer Energy Alliance (CEA), as the governors of these states decide whether to formally commit their constituents to a plan that could pave the way for higher prices at the pump, and sharp reductions in the availability of home heating oil.

“An LCFS isn’t about reducing carbon emissions, it’s about restricting access,” said CEA vice president Michael Whatley, who represented the organization in two regional LCFS hearings held earlier this winter. “Unfortunately, for residents of the Northeast, that means less access not only to affordable gas and diesel fuel, but to the critical fuel oils that are used to heat more than two million homes in the region.”

Earlier this month, CEA obtained a draft copy of the LCFS Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) currently in circulation among the 11 states involved in the Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management (NESCAUM), a group actively lobbying for an LCFS. In it, states are asked to endorse the statement that an LCFS is “a market-based, fuel-neutral program to address the carbon content of fuels” – even though in reality the plan is government- (not market-) directed, fuel-discriminatory (especially against those from Canada), and does nothing to reduce the carbon content of fuel (which is constant).

Additionally, the MOU demands that states “commit to promote and support a national LCFS program,” the clearest admission yet that a regional LCFS scheme cannot succeed unless its burden is extended via federal mandate to competitors in neighboring states. “That’s been the purpose of this effort all along,” added Whatley. “In regional stakeholder meetings and in the draft MOU, NESCAUM has stated its ultimate goal is to implement a bad regional policy that will push the federal government into passing a national mandate – even if it means the Northeast ends up isolating itself from critical national and international fuel markets.”

According to reports, NESCAUM officials have asked each state’s governor to sign the MOU by December 31, 2009. In anticipation of that deadline, CEA last week sent each of the 11 governors participating in the NESCAUM effort a letter outlining several key considerations related to an LCFS – from the logistics involved in converting hundreds of thousands of vehicles to flex-fuel capable, to the realities inherent in the fact that 80 percent of transportation sector carbon emissions comes from the combustion of fuel, not the lifecycle components an LCFS will supposedly address.

More from SecureOurFuels.org:

CEA Analysis Finds LCFS a Bad Option for Northeast

Friday, November 13th, 2009

Consumer Energy Alliance analyzes Low-Carbon Fuel Standard compliance scenarios for 11 northeast states

WASHINGTON – A regional Low-Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) imposed on 11 Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states would result in prohibitively high gasoline, diesel and home heating oil prices, and would likely be logistically impossible to meet under any of the compliance scenarios currently being considered. That’s the conclusion reached in a new analysis produced by Consumer Energy Alliance (CEA) and submitted this week to the Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management (NESCAUM).

“Our analysis shows that under each of the compliance scenarios contemplated by NESCAUM, the imposition of an LCFS on the Northeast will lead to substantially higher prices at the pump and restricted access to essential fuels such as gasoline, diesel and home heating oil – without doing a thing to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions,” said CEA vice president Michael Whatley, who participated in two public meetings hosted by NESCAUM in Newark, N.J. and Boston last month.

Created in the 1960s to advocate for the Clean Air Act, NESCAUM is currently working to develop a framework to encourage Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states to adopt model LCFS requirements, thus creating the nation’s first regional standard.  At its core, an LCFS seeks to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by restricting the use of conventional fuels such as gasoline and diesel, while increasing the use of alternatives.

In analyzing potential methods for designing an LCFS, CEA considered the consequences of two compliance scenarios reportedly under consideration by the group: 1) forcing fuel producers to meet LCFS mandates by injecting enormous amounts of corn-based ethanol into fuel stocks, or 2) forcing them to purchase carbon credits for the right to remain in business.

Under the ethanol compliance scenario, CEA found that in order to meet a 10 percent emissions reduction target, ethanol would need to comprise a full 50 percent of the region’s fuel supply. To handle this E-50 ethanol, every single car in the 11-state region would need to become a “flex-fuel” vehicle, a significant feat considering that today less than one percent of vehicles on the road meet that standard.

Logistics aside, the plan would also cost some serious money:

In order to handle gasoline with an ethanol blend over 10%, gasoline storage tanks and pumps … will need to be replaced with special tanks and equipment … currently projected to cost between $50,000 and $200,000 per location.

Under the credit purchase scenario, fuel retailers would need to purchase credits from alternative energy producers to comply with an LCFS. However, given the relative lack of commercially available technology in this space at present, it’s not entirely clear how compliance could be met under this scenario — a fact that NESCAUM admits in its report (page 21):

While the outlook of these technologies is promising, the volumes that would be required in order to meet a 10 percent LCFS by 2020 greatly exceed the volumes that have been produced to date.

In formal comments submitted to NESCAUM following its LCFS meetings, CEA also analyzed policy alternatives that could achieve emissions reductions in ways that are cheaper and more efficient than an LCFS. Comparing these alternatives to current LCFS proposals, CEA concludes that an LCFS will raise fuel costs substantially higher than would be the case under new CAFE requirements or the implementation of Renewable Fuels Standards – and will achieve significantly lower emissions reductions.

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